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I would add today's piece on Bloomberg News http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109.... regarding insurers' stepped-up efforts to sell cheap, high-deductible coverage to "young immortals." It's worth noting that under one policy, the patient pays 20% of his ER bill AFTER paying the high deductible. The Bloomberg story also notes the industry's profits.
Thanks for mentioning the book.
Let's look at the assumptions being discussed
- we're spending too much for healthcare in the US
- the current decision makers are not making the best decisions
- limiting spending and changing who makes the decisions will improve the results
What you are fundamentally arguing is that some person remote from the the point of care can make a better decision about whether someone deserves access to a certain drug or procedure better than the doctor and the patient can AND if the patient doesn't like it, tough. Today, if you're health insurance provider won't pay for something, you can still pay for it yourself. In Canada, you can't - by law. When the government comes into an industry, you merely trade one set of behavioral incentives for another - and lose a lot of freedom in the bargain.
For an extreme result of where things can go, look at the recent move to forbid access to certain types of procedures to smokers in Britain.
So, I fully support your investigation of the alternatives to what we have today and hope you find some compelling paths for us to follow.
Just remember, that if you haven't lived in one of those blessed OECD countries that are obviously more enlightened than the US, then tread carefully about your assertions of life under such a system. Data at the aggregate level doesn't equal data at the individual level.
Living under such a system is far from a panacea. Perhaps the US can find a different path forward and your research will contribute to that.
Alan, you raise some good points about the potential pitfalls of centralizing healthcare decisions. On the other hand, the outcomes data I'm referring to -- particularly the research of Dartmouth's John Wennberg and Elliott Fisher -- strongly suggests that doctors and patients aren't doing a great job of selecting the most appropriate care either. (Maggie Mahar wrote about the Wennberg-Fisher work for Dartmouth Medicine earlier this year.)
One solution to the problem is “evidence-based medicine,” in which researchers rank the efficacy of procedures and drug treatments after subjecting them to rigorous controlled clinical trials. These sorts of studies can result in top-down guidelines issued from afar, but applying more analytical rigor to the question of which treatments work and which don’t surely can’t hurt. Of course, such evidence can also be used to drive reimbursement decisions, and that’s a stickier subject that I’ll happily punt on for the moment.